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Fighter on Fighter: Breaking down UFC 295’s Alex Pereira


Former 185-pound strap-hanger, Alex Pereira, looks to add a second UFC belt to his collection by taking out wild knockout artist, Jiri Prochazka, this Saturday (Nov. 11, 2023) at UFC 295 inside Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York.

After building up a highly decorated kickboxing career, Pereira returned to MMA in November 2020 at 33 years of age. Clearly, time was of the essence, and has anyone ever maximized a short couple years in the Octagon better than “Poatan?” The Brazilian flew up the Middleweight ranks (knocking out the current champion in the process) and stopped Adesanya just two years after stepping back into the cage following his kickboxing-inspired absence.

One year later — almost to the day! — Pereira is back in the cage with a new title on the line, having already established himself as a serious 205-pound threat. He has the potential to accomplish a lifetime of MMA achievement in just his seventh UFC fight, surefire proof of his remarkable talent.

Let’s take a closer look at his skill set:

Striking

“Poatan” is a a two-division Glory kickboxing champ with monstrous power in both hands. Regardless of what division he fights in, Pereira always seems to be massive, holding a height and reach advantage over many of his opponents.

Pereira is a fighter who stalks opponents. He does good work from the kicking range, sure, but the Brazilian invites trades from the pockets. Much of the time, Pereira appears content to work from distance, only to either intentionally close a few more inches or allow his opponent to do so, which can very suddenly introduce a very different dynamic.

At range, Pereira is effective with his kicks and jab. One of the more unique quirks to Pereira’s kicking arsenal is the very kickboxing habit of tying kicks together. Quite often, Pereira will touch his opponent’s mid-section with a switch kick then quickly rip the lead thigh as his opponent backs off. He’ll do the opposite as well, touching low before committing high, which is how he brought a high kick to the chin of Adesanya in the second round of their first MMA bout. Aside from his round kicks, Pereira can snap his right foot into the belly painfully as well.

It probably should be mentioned that Pereira can cover distance with jump knees like few others as well.

Pereira’s calf kick has became a more consistent and devastating weapon in his last two fights. What’s quite interesting is that Pereira throws the strike without much turnover in the hips. Consequently, there’s less power, but there’s also no tell. He’s accurate with his calf kick and still kicks hard enough that it only takes a few to have a major impact.

Pereira’s ability to switch up his rhythm is a huge part of what makes him such a special striker, and the habit of pairing kicks is just one small example. A majority of the time, Pereira is throwing short combinations of his jab, cross/overhand, and left hook. These are the three primary punches of most every fighter in the game, but Pereira separates himself from the pack due to punching form and ability to switch up his timing.

For example, the 2-3 or right hand-left hook combination is pretty fundamental piece of boxing/kickboxing/Muay Thai. Given that Pereira leads with his cross/overhand often, and the fact that his money punch is the left hook, it’s not surprising that Pereira makes good use of the 2-3.

Pereira mixes up that simple combination so well, however. He’ll throw the right as a quick darting cross or as a crushing overhand. Pereira can then follow up with a fast left hook that checks the guard, more rotational power by drifting backwards as he hooks, or a shift forward that has him crashing forward (which is how he knocked out Adesanya the first time in the ring).

Pereira’s stoppage win over Sean Strickland was really a master class in setting up the left hook. Fight fans have openly mocked Strickland for trying to pressure and jab a world class kickboxer, and it’s true that his strategy wasn’t the best. However, it’s also important to understand why Strickland fought how he did, and how well Pereira baited him and played into his confidence.

Strickland routinely pressures MMA fighters. He stands tall, gets in their face, and trusts his ability to parry and slip to keep him safe in the pocket. Frankly, he’s earned the right to be confident. Strickland has statistically excellent striking defense, enough so that he was later able to stand in front of Adesanya without taking any clean counter punches.

Strickland did not, however, have the right to be confident in the pocket against Alex f—king Pereira. “Poatan” taught him the error of his ways quickly but craftily. For about two minutes, Pereira fought from his back foot and did everything but throw the left hook. He jabbed the chin and mid-section, flicked up quick kicks to the body and lead leg, and at one point did land a nice right.

Strickland has a habit of raising his lead leg in a preemptive check to close distance. That’s great against low kicks, but getting blasted on one leg is BAD. Pereira timed his left hook kill shot perfectly, immediately after a hard jab poke to the chest. Strickland’s base was not beneath him as the shot landed, and his excellent parry was inaccurately down low expecting a body jab (GIF).

While on the topic of the left hook, take a second to admire the following clips and note how well Pereira rotates his shoulders, twists his hips, and really digs his lead foot into the ground to generate power. In both of the below clips, also note how Pereira hides the weight shift behind his lead shoulder by first throwing a right kick/knee.

Pereira plays off the threat of the left hook well. Squaring up his chest before throwing gives the shot a bit more of a tell in addition to more power, but that’s not a problem since Pereira offers up other threats. He’ll shift his weight and then instead rip a left hook to the body or fire a left uppercut from that loaded position, keeping his opponent uncertain. This left hook can be unleashed while leading or as a counter.

One interesting potential flaw in Pereira’s game in regards to MMA is that he seems surprised when his left hook misses. Obviously, in bigger gloves fighting men with higher guards, it’s easier to create a connection even if it’s not a clean shot to the chin. Against Bruno Silva, there were several times where Pereira’s left went right over Silva’s head or was too short. That’s a dangerous situation, but Pereira didn’t react well, standing frozen — not unlike Elsa — as Silva flurried at him with hooks and overhands.

Another aspect of his kickboxing that separates Pereira from most MMA fighters is his ability to pick shots after hurting an opponent (GIF). He does not simply alternate big crosses and hooks, even if Pereira could stop many men with just those shots. Instead, Pereira attacks carefully, doubling up on power shots from one side. Often, Pereira will double up either side by throwing left hook-left uppercut or right hand-right uppercut, loading up between shots. When really flowing, those doubled up duos of power shots will continue into a combination from his other side, as Pereira works in major connections around his defensive opponent’s guard.

The clinch has proven to be another area of effective offense for the Brazilian. Routinely, opponents have pressed him into the clinch expecting to control Pereira. Instead, he makes the most of small moments of framing, using small opportunities to dig hard knees into the body. When he’s the man initiating the clinch, Pereira blends elbows and knees together well, taking whatever is available to maximize damage.

Thus far, it seems that Pereira’s defense has yet to really adapt to MMA. In response to aggression, Pereira has two responses: he either takes one step back and fires his left hook, or he shuffles away from the exchange entirely. That left hook is to be respected, but Silva landed a lot of hard shots by timing the shuffles.

Pereira was putting himself out of position to answer with strikes. As a result, Silva could flurry and connect on wide hooks, and he did great work with low kicks at the end of these combinations from close range. Generally, trying to low kick Pereira from within the pocket is a recipe to get murdered by a left hook, but that’s not the case if he’s shuffling out-of-stance. In addition, Pereira seemed surprised on several occasions when his back hit the fence, leaving him vulnerable.

The Brazilian is definitely guilty of relying on tall man defense like fading away and leaning back, a riskier proposition in smaller gloves. He relies a lot on his presence in the pocket and pure punching power to help keep him safe, but Adesanya demonstrated what can happen if an opponent stands his ground in the cage.

The margins are simply thinner in 4-ounce gloves.

On the flip side, Pereira’s kick defense against “Stylebender” deserves its applause. He certainly took some heavy low kicks, but the Brazilian also managed to damage Adesanya by checking a fair few as well. His checks combined with his own calf kicks to slow Adesanya, leaving him more vulnerable to that fifth round rally that ended the contest.

Wrestling And BJJ

Pereira has yet to attempt a submission inside the Octagon, but he and Adesanya did wrestle a bit. His transition from single leg to running double was a bit awkward, but it was certainly the right idea and managed to get Adesanya to the mat!

Defensively, Pereira very much shows his inexperience. He’s been taken down several times, often after being caught standing too tall to defend a double. His sprawl is strong, but mostly, Pereira seems to rely on size and strength to stop takedowns. That’s not a bad strategy given his physical gifts, but it also means he just turns his back and stands up to return to his feet after giving up a takedown.

Against Adesanya, Pereira made two pivotal errors in the third round. When Adesanya caught his kick and transitioned into a body lock, Pereira was in no position to attempt a whizzer kick takedown. He still did, essentially folding himself over backwards and giving Adesanya top position. Then, when he tried to turn and stand up immediately, he failed to react to Adesanya’s wrist control. A couple more failed attempts exhausted him and still left him with his wrist trapped, at which point “Stylebender” could keep his weight forward and land potshots without having to worry too much about escapes.

Fighting hands immediately is fundamental wrestling, but Pereira did a pretty poor job of it in this instance.

Pereira’s wrestling with Blachowicz was more of the same: a gifted athlete making it work despite some mistakes. When Blachowicz was fresh, he didn’t have all that much trouble securing a single leg dump then moving into back mount. Pereira made a mistake along the fence in holding the guillotine rather than applying pressure to a whizzer or pushing the head down, then on the floor, he turned his back far too quickly.

Physicality made the difference though. Holding down Pereira fatigued Blachowicz badly, and when his shot was slower, Pereira found much more success in breaking free of his grip. He still got dragged down once or twice, but it’s exhausting to hold down such a strong and athletic opponent.

Pereira will likely never be an expert defensive wrestler, but he does enough right that he’s still challenging to control given his physical attributes.

Conclusion

Once again, Pereira has a very real chance to become a two-division champion despite there being some obvious weaknesses in his grappling game. Jiri Prochazka doesn’t seem particularly likely to expose them though, so the elite kickboxer will likely get the striking battle he desires.


Andrew Richardson, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu brown belt, is a professional fighter who trains at Team Alpha Male in Sacramento, California. In addition to learning alongside world-class talent, Andrew has scouted opponents and developed winning strategies for several of the sport’s most elite fighters.


LIVE! Watch UFC 295 PPV On ESPN+ Here!

TWO TITLES UP FOR GRABS! Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) makes its highly anticipated return to Madison Square Garden in New York City on Sat., Nov. 11, 2023, with a re-worked pay-per-view (PPV) main card. In the ESPN+-streamed main event, former 205-pound roost-ruler, Jiri Prochazka, will lock horns with ex-Middleweight kingpin, Alex Pereira, for the promotion’s vacant Light Heavyweight title. In UFC 295’s co-main event, top-ranked Heavyweight contenders, Sergei Pavlovich (No. 2) and Tom Aspinall (No. 4), will collide for the interim strap after division champion, Jon Jones, was injured with a torn pectoral muscle and forced to withdraw (video).

Don’t miss a single second of EPIC face-punching action!



This story originally appeared on MMA Mania

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