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Average American set to receive 29% less this tax season, IRS says

Inflation-battered Americans waiting on a much-needed infusion of cash from their tax refunds have received 29% less than last year, according to early data from the Internal Revenue Service.

The average refund issued through Feb. 2 totaled $1,395, a massive $568 decline from this time last year, the IRS’ filing season statistics showed.

There was also a precipitous plunge in the amount refunded via direct deposits: roughly $4 billion thus far for the 2023 tax-filing season versus $14.3 billion the previous year, a staggering 71.4% drop.

Statistics from the Internal Revenue Service thus far this tax-filing season show that Americans are getting, on average, 29% less in refunds than they did last year. IRS

The average direct-deposit refund also dipped 25%, from $2,056 to $1,543.

However, the IRS didn’t appear worried by the early declines, noting that the filing season began nearly a week later this year than it did last year. Tax season kicked off on Jan. 29, compared with Jan. 23 the prior year.

Considering this, “filing season statistics show a strong start to filing season 2024, with all systems running well,” the IRS said.

Chicago-based certified public accountant Daniel Rahill told USA Today that early filers may be receiving smaller refunds because they did not increase their tax withholding amounts despite getting a raise in 2023.

Certified public accountant Daniel Rahill suggested filers may be receiving smaller refunds because they did not increase their tax withholding amounts despite getting a raise in 2023. Getty Images/iStockphoto

“‘Gig’ workers may have earned more income but not stepped up their estimated tax payments, again yielding smaller refunds,” Rahill added.

Another possibility, according to Rahill, is that “some filers may have reaped more investment income from a strong stock market, triggering more taxes,” according to USA Today.

The markets had a stellar 2023. The S&P 500 ended the year with a gain of more than 24%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 13%, near a record high.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq also benefitted greatly from a year of advancements related to artificial intelligence, closing out 2023 with a whopping 43% gain.

The IRS expects the data to change as more filers submit their returns by the April 15 deadline.

“[I]t will be an interesting analysis to see where the next wave of numbers come in once we receive more tax filing data,” Rahill told USA Today.

In total, the IRS anticipates receiving more than 128.7 million individual tax returns. On average, three of four tax filers are due to receive a refund.

The average direct-deposit refund also dipped 25%, from $2,056 to $1,543, said the IRS, which expects to receive more than 128.7 million individual tax returns by the April 15 deadline. Getty Images

For taxpayers who file electronically and choose to receive their refund via direct deposit, they can expect those funds to hit their account within 21 days, according to the IRS. Americans who mailed their return, however, can expect to wait a minimum of four weeks.

Experts have warned that a big tax refund isn’t all that it’s cracked up to be.

“We have to change our mentality about how tax refunds are because we have to remind ourselves that it is our money to begin with,” Rebecca Chen, reporter and CPA, told Yahoo! Finance.

“And this is quite a big deal because we’re living in a very high-interest, high-debt environment,” she added, noting that overpaying in taxes is “essentially like giving them [the IRS] an interest-free loan throughout the year.”



This story originally appeared on NYPost

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