‘The Conjuring 4’ Box Office Projections Look Scary Good for Warner Bros.

The Conjuring: Last Rites is projected to give Warner Bros. another number one movie during its opening weekend, and scare some life back into the box office following some disappointing Labor Day returns.

The fourth film in the mainline franchise, Last Rites sees Patrick Wilson and Vera Farmiga return as the Warrens in what is being billed as the final entry in the Conjuring Universe, which also includes spinoffs such as the Nun and Annabelle films. The Conjuring movies have been a consistently profitable franchise for New Line Cinema and Warner Bros., to put it mildly; like a lot of horror movies, they don’t require a significant budget to produce, but tend to open big. According to projections, The Conjuring: Last Rites could be in line for the biggest opening in the franchise’s history.

Variety reports that The Conjuring: Last Rites is looking at a $50 million opening weekend. Warner Bros. and New Line Cinema are being more cautious, projecting $35 million, while independent tracking numbers are predicting it could get as high as $55 million. The movie is also expected to have an international opening of $50 million, which would add up to a worldwide gross in the neighborhood of $100 million.

‘The Conjuring’ Universe Box Office Track Record

If The Conjuring: Last Rites opens to $50 million, that would make it the second biggest opening weekend in the Conjuring Universe, behind only The Nun, which opened to $53 million in 2018. Of course, this means that if Last Rites reaches $55 million, it’ll notch the biggest opening weekend in the franchise’s history. It’s certainly an increase from the previous two Conjuring Universe entries, The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It and The Nun II, which opened to $24 million and $32 million, respectively. (It’s worth noting that The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It was released in 2021 as a day and date release with theaters and HBO Max.)

The Conjuring: Last Rites‘ opening weekend would give Warner Bros. its seventh consecutive number one movie at the box office to open with over $40 million. After a rocky start to the year with titles like Companion, Mickey 17, and The Alto Knights, Warners has bounced back big with A Minecraft Movie, Sinners, Final Destination: Bloodlines, F1, Superman, and Weapons. This certainly puts even more pressure on Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another to continue the hot streak, but also takes pressure off — even if that film underperforms, these other box office hits can carry the financial burden for the studio.

Marketing The Conjuring: Last Rites as the final film in the horror franchise certainly plays a factor in the audience’s general interest. The franchise has been a near-constant fixture at the movies since the first movie opened in the summer of 2013. Like Avengers: Endgame, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker before it, the alleged end of a franchise is more likely to draw audiences than a regular entry. Opening the first weekend of September, which many consider the start of spooky season, certainly plays to the movie’s advantage.

The Conjuring: Last Rites

Release Date

September 5, 2025

Runtime

135 Minutes

Director

Michael Chaves

Writers

David Leslie Johnson-McGoldrick, Ian B. Goldberg, Richard Naing, Carey Hayes, Chad Hayes, James Wan

Producers

Peter Safran, James Wan