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Bond yields ease ahead of key Fed comments


Bond yields eased Friday ahead of key comments from Federal Reserve officials, as traders increasingly price in the prospect that the central bank will continue its rate-hike campaign next month.

What’s happening

  • The yield on the 2-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.242%

    was 4.23%, down 3.7 basis points. Yields move in the opposite direction to prices.

  • The yield on the 10-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.644%

    was 3.63%, down 2.5 basis points.

  • The yield on the 30-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD30Y,
    3.908%

    was 3.9%, down 1.1 basis points.

What’s driving markets

On Thursday, the 2-year yield saw its largest yield gain since May 5, as the 10-year yield also rose. That came after a flurry of hawkish Fed speakers, as well as better-than-expected economic data and indications the U.S. debt ceiling will be raised.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to step up to the mic at 11 a.m. Eastern — in a conversation with former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke. New York Fed President John Williams is due to make remarks as well.

Markets are pricing in a 36% chance of a quarter-point hike in June, up from just 16% a week ago, according to the FedWatch tool from the CME.

“We’ll hear from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and he will probably have some interest in keeping a hawkish rhetoric alive, ultimately adding a bit more pressure on bonds and support to the dollar,” said Francesco Pesole, a currency strategist at ING.



This story originally appeared on Marketwatch

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