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Upset alert? Justin Gaethje opens as underdog versus short-notice, post-ACL injury Rafael Fiziev | UFC 313


Welcome to Midnight Mania!

Betting odds work in mysterious ways.

Indeed, I don’t think many would have predicted that Rafael Fiziev would open as the favorite over Justin Gaethje. The recently put together UFC 313 co-main event is less than two weeks away, and Fiziev just accepted the bout on Wednesday! Not only will this be Fiziev’s first bout back since tearing his ACL, but the two have already fought previously … and Gaethje won the decision! Their first fight took place in March 2023 at UFC 286, meaning it’s been just less than two full years since Gaethje bloodied up “Ataman.”

Despite all these apparent negatives, Fiziev has widely opened as the favorite ahead of their rematch. For example, DraftKings lists Fiziev at -135 compared to a +114 comeback on Gaethje. That’s not a huge gap, but it’s still fairly surprising given the history and circumstance.

Back when the duo first fought, Fiziev was actually a major favorite at more than two-to-one odds. Surely some Gaethje bettors won big that evening, and perhaps lightning strikes twice here? Of course, there’s always the chance that the oddsmakers know more first than meets the eye.

What say you, Maniacs? Is there money to be made with this line?

Insomnia

Khalil Rountree working with an expert Muay Thai coach seems like a great combination.

Mateusz Gamrot wanted the Gaethje fight, but he’s instead getting dunked on by Fiziev and called out by streaking Ludovit Klein.

It’s outrageous that Robert Whittaker vs. Sean Strickland hasn’t happened yet.

Heavyweight wrestler vs. striker match up … and they’re actually pretty decent? Should be fun.

A nice show of respect between Gaethje and Dustin Poirier.

Ryan Garcia looks out of shape and is still wicked fast.

Only the best on Contenders Series.

MMA fighters are never too far from randomly wrestling one another. On a related note: has GLF hit up Wanderlei yet?

Slips, rips, and KO clips

Shoutout the ex-UFC Light Heavyweight Tyson Pedro for getting the job done in his professional boxing debut.

A great example of staying tight and low with the left hook in the pocket.

Unconscious but propped up by the fence is a bad spot.

Random Land

An old map.

Midnight Music: Country, 1977

Sleep well Maniacs! More martial arts madness is always on the way.




This story originally appeared on MMA Mania

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